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Iraq warns of ISIS risk from Syria after US troop exit

Iraq is reinforcing its border posture as officials monitor ISIS activity in Syria following the end of the US military mission in Iraq.

Iraq warns of ISIS risk from Syria after US troop exit

Key takeaways

  • Iraq is monitoring ISIS activity in neighboring Syria.
  • Baghdad is preparing forces for possible movement toward its border.
  • The US counter-ISIS mission in Iraq has formally ended.
  • US counter-ISIS operations are continuing in Syria.
  • Scattered ISIS cells remain in both countries.

Iraq prepares its border forces

Iraqi Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein said Thursday that Baghdad was closely tracking ISIS activity in Syria and preparing its forces for possible movement toward Iraq’s border. His warning came one day after the final US forces assigned to Operation Inherent Resolve left Iraq, formally ending the American counter-ISIS mission there.

Hussein said fighters who succeeded in entering Iraq could again threaten the country’s security. He also expressed confidence that Iraqi forces could fight the group without the large US-led coalition presence that helped end ISIS’s territorial control.

The warning followed an operation by Syrian authorities four days earlier against an ISIS cell active in four provinces. Syrian security forces said they arrested four cell leaders and seized explosives prepared for attacks. They also linked the cell to kidnappings, assassinations and explosive devices.

US operations continue in Syria

President Donald Trump described the Iraq withdrawal as a victory for both countries and said the mission’s purpose had been to fight the ISIS caliphate, which no longer exists. The Pentagon has said Iraqi forces can suppress the remaining ISIS threat.

US officials assess that ISIS has been severely weakened and does not pose a broad threat to Iraq, but scattered cells remain in Iraq and Syria. American forces are continuing counter-ISIS operations in Syria intended to prevent the organization from rebuilding.

A mission lasting more than two decades

The departure ended a US military role in Iraq that changed over more than 20 years. The United States invaded Iraq in 2003 and removed Saddam Hussein from power, followed by years of insurgency and sectarian violence. The latest transition places responsibility for security inside Iraq with Iraqi forces while ISIS activity across the Syrian border remains under scrutiny.

What to watch

  • Whether Iraq changes troop deployments along the Syrian border
  • Further Iraqi assessments of ISIS activity inside Syria
  • The scope of continuing US counter-ISIS operations in Syria
  • Additional actions by Syrian security forces against ISIS cells

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