Poll: Latino voters favor Democratic control by 24 points

Congressional control

Latino voters favor Democratic control of Congress after the midterm elections by a 24-point margin, an NBC News and Telemundo poll found. The margin measures the gap between those preferring Democratic control and those preferring Republican control; it is not either party’s total level of support.

The result concerns which party should lead Congress rather than support for a particular House or Senate candidate. Control of Congress is decided district by district in House elections and state by state in Senate elections, so a national preference does not translate directly into seats.

Views of Trump

The survey also found that Latino voters’ opinions of President Trump’s performance remain poor. That finding comes after many Latino voters shifted to the right in 2024 and helped form a key part of Trump’s winning coalition.

The new results indicate that the 2024 movement among Latino voters may be changing. A poll records voter opinion at the time the survey is conducted; it is not an election result and does not determine how people will vote in individual contests.

Midterm stakes

The midterm elections will determine which party controls the House and Senate. Latino voters are not a single voting bloc, and their choices will be made across separate congressional races.

Future surveys can show whether the 24-point preference persists as campaigns develop. Election results will depend on who votes, the choices available in each race and how support is distributed among states and congressional districts.